Foreign Exchange - UK Weekly Update - Written by rick on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 10:36 - 0 Comments

Euro Battles on as France act on Banking System - World First’s Euro Update - 21st October 2008

 

Euro Battles on as France act on Banking System

Euro has been struggling in most of its major crosses recently as the business confidence in the region continues to weaken. German ZEW index fell to -0.63 last week, a good indication of the lack of confidence throughout and reinforcing expectations of further deteriorations in conditions from the Euro Zone

Trichet commented negatively on the state of affairs late on Sunday, saying that the economy was in for a “strong slowdown”. Compounding this was a report by the IMF predicted growth in 2009 of just 0.2%

Fragmented policy responses to the crisis continue to hamper a complete turnaround in Euros fortunes. The latest action has been with France, which recently injected over €10bn into their six largest banks in order to strengthen their balance sheets. As expected this has sent French and European equities on another bull run following a rather volatile last week.

Euro has fallen to mid 1.32 levels against dollar, where it is finally finding some resistance. Sterling made some headway last week, having a couple of attempts at the 1.30 level. It is largely range trading in the mid-high 1.20’s currently.

Tier 1 data for the rest of this week is extremely light; we look for further weak figures on Thursdays Flash PMI figures from Germany as the only major release. Once again it will be a week dominated by Governments, equity and commodity movements

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Please feel free to contact me (rick.roache@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our:

Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

 

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Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice.

Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

 

 

 

 

 

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