Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by on Friday, February 26, 2010 8:42 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 26 February 2010: Sterling Beasted Over Double-Dip Recession

httpvh://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTEkUItmkdU

·         Business Investment falls by 25%, fears over a double dip recession increase

·         UK GDP due at 09.30

·         Greece may face further sovereign debt downgrade

·         US jobs market weakens unexpectedly

All this and more is available on our blog. Click here  http://www.worldfirst.com/blog

Sterling was hammered yesterday, losing ground against all the majors as fear ran roughshod through the market. Fears that the UK had not escaped recession trumped those of sovereign debt downgrades for Greece and worries over the US jobs market.

The concern for pound was born out of a horrific business investment figure. Q4 investment into the UK dropped by 25%; a record and left analysts wondering whether the relief that we saw a month ago when the UK posted at 0.1% growth figure would be replaced by yet another minus amount. We find out today at 09.30. A poor figure will see sterling slump back close to 1.50 against the dollar while nudging 1.11 versus the European single currency.

It’s not like the euro is even strong at the moment. Moody’s, as well as S&P, are considering sovereign downgrades for Greece as a country. This move would see Greek debt to be illegitimate to use as collateral against loans from the ECB. That would leave the Greeks only able to raise funds in the markets; a place where yields are rising, heaping more pain on the indebted nation.

These two pieces of data were already enough to see equity markets get nervous and the final coffin nail came in the form of jobs data from the US.

Initial jobless claims, the amount of people newly applying for benefits in the US, rose unexpectedly. This contrasted the fall in unemployment form 10% to 9.7%  we saw at the beginning of the month. Equity markets bled red as the prospects of global ‘double dip’ loomed large.

Apart from the UK GDP data, we also have US GDP at 13.30 and US consumer confidence at 14.55. We would expect risk to continue to slide over the course of today

Have a good weekend.

Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1236

1.1262

GBP/USD

1.5238

1.5262

EUR/USD

1.3545

1.3565

GBP/JPY

136.07

136.34

GBP/AUD

1.7161

1.7189

GBP/NZD

2.1995

2.2025

GBP/CAD

1.6151

1.6182

NZD/USD

0.6920

0.6942

GBP/ZAR

11.85

11.90

USD/ZAR

7.7686

7.8044

GBP/PLN

4.4709

4.4970

EUR/JPY

121.01

121.27

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog.

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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