Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by on Thursday, February 25, 2010 10:33 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 25 February 2010: Fed Keeps the Table Open

httpvh://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bZmgXgcxkko

·         Bernanke stays dovish

·         MPC’s Posen – more QE possible

·         European industrial production better than expected

All this and more is available on our blog. Click here  http://www.worldfirst.com/blog

“Exceptionally low for an extended period.” Ben Bernanke relaxed his recent hawkish turn and fell back into his typical laissez-faire attitude; he might of well have said ‘The buffet’s still open lads, we’ve just made the plates a little bit heavier and we’ll need the back sooner.”

Risky assets moved higher as a result of the Chairman’s testimony to Congress. Equity markets (apart from those in Southern Europe) overcame sluggish starts to finish in the green while bonds fell and EM currencies rose.

Sterling was in fairly lacklustre trade with it losing ground against the euro as European industrial production surprised upwards; a trend we do not see continuing for too long.

Another MPC member, Adam Posen, was speaking yesterday and towed the party line of more QE if necessary. I’m not sure if the MPC is playing games with the market at the moment or why did Posen and King not vote for an expansion at the previous meeting?

I expect sterling to trade within its recent ranges against the majors today ahead of tomorrow’s important GDP figures from the US and UK. Those ranges are 1.1330 to 1.1550 against the euro and 1.53 to 1.5550 against the dollar.

It’s a data heavy day with CBI Distributive Trades from the UK (11.00), European Consumer Confidence (10.00), and initial from the US initial jobless claims (13.30) and house prices (15.00)

Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1345

1.1370

GBP/USD

1.5309

1.5338

EUR/USD

1.3473

1.3504

GBP/JPY

136.87

137.17

GBP/AUD

1.7233

1.7258

GBP/NZD

2.2202

2.2234

GBP/CAD

1.6154

1.6179

NZD/USD

0.6881

0.6901

GBP/ZAR

11.91

11.96

USD/ZAR

7.7536

7.8162

GBP/PLN

4.5109

4.5412

EUR/JPY

120.47

120.73

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog.

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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