Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by jeremy on Wednesday, November 18, 2009 8:31 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 18 November 2009 Update: Pound Gets Inflation Boost Before BOE Minutes

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Sterling climbed to a 2 month high against the euro yesterday as strong inflation figures buoyed.

CPI rose to 1.5% against a consensus view of 1.4%. There is the possibility this will not last however and, like the Bank of England warned last week, CPI will probably spend more time below its target rate of 2% than above it.

 Sterling’s move was kept in check by a comment from Bank of England director Andrew Sentance. He said yesterday  that emergency stimulus (quantitative easing) measures for the U.K. economy had better remain in place for an undetermined period. “We have to be open-minded” about more quantitative easing, Sentance added, even though he thought that the recession in the U.K. had come to an end.

Sterling gets another chance to jump today with the Bank of England minutes from this month’s meeting. This is of course the meeting when they decided to raise rates by a less than expected £25bn. The all important factor is the split of votes and where those other votes went. If those who didn’t vote for £25bln voted for no change sterling should rise. If however they voted for a £50bln expansion sterling will probably come under pressure, especially if Mervyn King was one of them after his August performance.

Dollar strengthened as well yesterday as equity markets began to look uncomfortable at their recent highs. The greenback was also helped by Ben Bernanke commenting on ‘strong’ dollar policy. The Chairman of the Fed said that they would “continue to monitor these developments closely” and that they were “attentive” to the implications of changes in the value of the US dollar.

Other than the Bank of England announcement we have US housing starts and US CPI at 13.30.

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Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1262

1.1287

GBP/USD

1.6793

1.6818

EUR/USD

1.4896

1.4918

GBP/JPY

149.65

149.97

GBP/AUD

1.8030

1.8076

GBP/NZD

2.2516

2.2551

GBP/CAD

1.7658

1.7713

NZD/USD

0.7451

0.7471

GBP/ZAR

12.48

12.53

USD/ZAR

7.42

7.46

GBP/PLN

4.5999

4.6280

EUR/JPY

132.64

133.10

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.q

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog.

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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