Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by on Friday, January 15, 2010 8:55 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 15 January 2010: ECB Slam Greece, Euro Weakens Massively

httpvh://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DSaWnsDKdcU

·         Trichet goes bananas over Greek fiscal responsibility

·         ‘no special treatment’ for indebted countries

·         US retail sales also poor

·         Rumour Angela Merkel resigns so far false.

All this and more is available on our blog. Click here  http://www.worldfirst.com/blog

The markets saw the full wrath of Jean-Claude Trichet as he beat up on Greek policy makers in his post ECB press conference.

The ECB’s Governor told us that Greece nor any indebted European economy would ‘receive any special treatment’. As a result of this the euro lost ground across the board ploughing close to the 1.13 level against the pound. The cost of insuring Greek debt against default rose to the highest level on record while yields on debt rose to a 12 month high. We are cautious of saying that the long term downtrend in GBP/EUR is over but further euro weakness is very possible. Given sterling’s speed of ascent yesterday I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a little softening in today’s trade. There was also a late rumour that Angel Merkel, German Chancellor, had resigned. There has been no clarification however.

This rather overshadowed the actual ECB interest rate decision: rates stayed at 1% as we and the market predicted while the language pertaining to an ‘exit strategy’ was also unchanged.

Sterling was also able to gain against the US dollar as its advance retail sales figure for December was a lot worse than expected. Initial Jobless Claims were roughly in line with consensus. GBP/USD is also near the top of a recent trading range and thus short term forward covering 2-4 weeks may be a sensible strategy in this climate.

Data in this market has been volatile and today will be no different; we have EU Trade Balance at 10.00, US Consumer Confidence at 14.55 and US CPI at 13.30.

Have a good weekend.

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Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1322

1.1348

GBP/USD

1.6314

1.6338

EUR/USD

1.4395

1.4416

GBP/JPY

148.17

148.43

GBP/AUD

1.7621

1.7646

GBP/NZD

2.2102

2.2137

GBP/CAD

1.6743

1.6781

NZD/USD

0.7370

0.7391

GBP/ZAR

12.03

12.08

USD/ZAR

7.3703

7.4041

GBP/PLN

4.5664

4.5942

EUR/JPY

130.67

130.93

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog.

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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