Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by on Friday, February 12, 2010 8:33 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 12 February 2010: Silence is Deadly for Euro

httpvh://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JHCiS5JIL6Q

·         ‘Arrangement’ made, although no detail yet.

·         Euro gets crushed, sterling gains 1.3%, dollar gains 1.6%

·         EU GDP, Industrial Production expected to be poor

All this and more is available on our blog. Click here  http://www.worldfirst.com/blog

The euro collapsed yesterday as politicians met in Brussels. Although an ‘arrangement’ has been made (one voted for unanimously as well apparently) the lack of detail left markets unwilling to hold the single currency.

It was sold hard against everything with the pound gaining 1.3% and the dollar 1.6%.

This is a classic example of traders buying the rumour and selling the fact. The rumour and speculation of assistance for the Greeks that swelled belief behind the single currency has been swiftly flattened by the fact that this plan drags the eurozone down as a whole. We have been bearish euro for 12 months and this only reinforces our view that the eurozone will be be beset by problems for years to come.

The general consensus now is that we will not hear anything until Monday’s EcoFin meeting. A weaker euro is likely.

When it rains it definitely pours in currency-land. EU GDP is due today at 9am GMT and is forecast to have dipped since Q3, this will only give traders more incentive to sell the beleaguered single currency. Eurozone Industrial Production is also forecast to be poor (10am) while US consumer confidence should see a slight uptick.

Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1517

1.1543

GBP/USD

1.5712

1.5737

EUR/USD

1.3539

1.3651

GBP/JPY

141.35

141.62

GBP/AUD

1.7669

1.7695

GBP/NZD

2.2507

2.2536

GBP/CAD

1.6488

1.6521

NZD/USD

0.6970

0.6990

GBP/ZAR

12.00

12.05

USD/ZAR

7.6300

7.6658

GBP/PLN

4.6014

4.6289

EUR/JPY

122.42

122.72

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog.

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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