Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by jeremy on Tuesday, January 5, 2010 8:42 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 05 January 2010 Update: Politics Hurts Sterling

·         Darling, Brown disagree on deficit, weakens sterling

·         Equity markets higher on first day of trade

·         UK manufacturing PMI better than expected, US good, EU poor

·         Commodity currencies tipped to continue higher

One of the problems we highlighted yesterday in our ‘Sterling Update: 2010 - The World First View’ was political discord: parties squabbling over the best way to fix the economy. What we missed however were failures of communication within one party.

Chancellor Alistair Darling spoke yesterday and seemed to assuage fears in the bond market by saying that any revenue from stronger than expected growth figures will be used to reduce debt levels. All good, and on their own, valid comments. However they were in a clattering opposition to Gordon Brown’s assertions given in a TV interview on Sunday. the PM is happier to allow this growth to keep public spending going.

Sterling weakened in the aftermath of Darlings’ comments on a fairly volatile days trade. The trading year is only 1 day old however and extrapolating the next 250 odd from yesterday’s is useless. What a lot of people I have spoken to over the past week or so are pleased about is that sterling did not take a bigger tumble over the Christmas a la last year.

Data from the UK was good yesterday with manufacturing PMI released at a better than expected 54.1. The US’s ISM was also strong but the European measure faltered close to stagnation.

If only we had something to mine. The 2 best performing currencies yesterday were the Canadian Dollar and the Norwegian Krone which were both boosted by rising commodity prices. These are many people’s tips for 2 the best performing currencies over ’10.

We continue the busy data calendar today with UK construction PMI (09.30 GMT), EU CPI (10.00) and US Factory Orders and Pending Home Sales (both 15.00)

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Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1125

1.1151

GBP/USD

1.6059

1.6084

EUR/USD

1.4421

1.4439

GBP/JPY

147.63

147.90

GBP/AUD

1.7609

1.7633

GBP/NZD

2.1895

2.1919

GBP/CAD

1.6677

1.6711

NZD/USD

0.7324

0.7343

GBP/ZAR

11.69

11.74

USD/ZAR

7.2834

7.3189

GBP/PLN

4.5223

4.5509

EUR/JPY

132.59

132.83

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.q

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog.

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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