Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by jeremy on Monday, November 10, 2008 7:36 - 0 Comments

Unemployment Rises Stateside As China Unveils Stimulus Package - World First’s Morning Update - 13th November 2008

US non farm payrolls came out well below expectations as the American economy continues to falter into the key 4th quarter. 240k jobs were lost in the month of October above are predictions of 227k and the market’s view of 200k while the unemployment rate soared to 6.5%; a figure not seen since 1994. US growth estimates also took a downturn as GDP is now forecast at -3.5% as supposed to -2.5%. This however does not change our belief that we will see one final 25bps cut and then the Fed will hold rates at 0.75% for the foreseeable future.

Over the weekend the G20 met to discuss the global economic downturn with a follow up meeting scheduled for this Friday in Washington DC. The first move by an attendee is from the Chinese who have told the market of a planned £373bn stimulus package. Given China’s demand for expansion we foresee this will have a positive effect on commodity currencies and equities in the short term as risk aversion slips. In early trade AUD, NZD and ZAR are all stronger against sterling where as the dollar is slightly weaker.

Today is a fairly quiet data day with only UK producer prices of note; they are of course expected to fall.

 

Indicative Rates

 

Sell

Buy

GBPEUR

1.2222

1.2256

GBPUSD

1.5704

1.5733

EURUSD

1.2832

1.2855

GBPJPY

155.48

156.30

GBPAUD

2.2828

2.2892

GBPNZD

2.6243

2.6328

GBPCAD

1.8449

1.8565

NZDUSD

0.5962

0.5997

GBPZAR

15.64

15.74

USDZAR

9.92

10.04

GBPPLN

4.4225

4.4742

EURJPY

126.90

127.77

Rates are dependent on amount transacted
Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote

 

 

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy,cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our:

Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

 

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog

 

Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice.

Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

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