Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by clifford on Friday, May 9, 2008 15:44 - 0 Comments
Friday 9th May
Euro rebounded slightly from falls over the past 2 days as a hawkish tone was trotted out by Jean-Claude Trichet and the ECB after their interest rate hold yesterday. Rates will stay at 4% for another month although thoughts that given the Eurozone’s poor run of data releases in recent weeks a cut may be in order soon still lingers. In other words, Trichet will not be putting his anti-inflation soapbox away for the near future.
Mervyn King and the Bank of England also left interest rates on hold yesterday. There was never really any doubt however sterling weakened as markets priced in the next cut as only a matter of time.
US initial jobless claims improved yesterday, as we predicted, still riding the wave from last week’s non-farms payroll figures. Although there was only a small improvement (365k vs. 370k expectation) markets are giddy on a potential end to problems stateside and dollar is all to happy to benefit.
Oil also continues to rise unabated; WTI crude closed yesterday at $124.21 a barrel, a new record.
Have a good weekend.
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Today’s Data
Germany: 07.00 Wholesale Prices
Expected: 0.3%
Previous: 1.6%
Actual: 0.6%
France: 07.45 Manufacturing Production
Expected: -0.5%
Previous: 0.3%
US: 13.30 Trade Balance
Expected: -$61.0bn
Previous: -$62.3bn
Indicative Rates
Sell Buy
GBPEUR 1.2636 1.2661
GBPUSD 1.9530 1.9555
EURUSD 1.5438 1.5462
GBPJPY 200.97 203.06
GBPAUD 2.0732 2.0880
GBPNZD 2.5212 2.5265
GBPCAD 1.9778 1.9831
GBPZAR 14.85 14.87
USDZAR 7.59 7.63
GBPPLN 4.2958 4.3138
Rates are dependent on amount transacted
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The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the authors own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice.
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