Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by rick on Friday, August 28, 2009 7:25 - 0 Comments

World First Foreign Exchange 28 August 2009 Update: GDP figures provide another test

Sterling escaped the day relatively unscathed, despite further disappointing domestic news, and a better than expected GDP result from the US.

The lack of credit flowing through to the real economy was highlighted by figures revealing that investment by businesses in the UK last quarter fell 10.4%, the biggest decline in this reading since the mid 80’s. Policy makers continue to scratch their heads for solutions to force institutions to extend much needed credit in the wider economy, while the pound will continue to be weighed by these worries.

Further undermining the pound were the rambles of the FSA’s head Adair Turner, who suggested that the financial industry requires a major reconstruction, and among other things proposed a ‘Tobin tax’, essentially a tax on financial transactions. As the UK is perceived as an economy highly exposed to the health of the financial sector, it was of course further bad news for sterling.

US GDP for the second quarter of the year saw a better than expected revision, showing that the largest economy in the world only shrank by 1.0%, with consensus for a 1.5% decline. The dollar struggled to capitalise, as did equities worldwide which finished largely down for the day.

Yesterday’s investment figures set us up for the second reading of GDP for the UK, the main piece of data for the day. The consensus view is for a contraction of 0.8%, however, a worse than expected reading should see sterling delivered another shove downwards. The only other data of note will be US personal income and spending levels, as well as an inflation figure.

 

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Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative Rates

Sell

Buy

GBP/EUR

1.1351

1.1377

GBP/USD

1.6276

1.6300

EUR/USD

1.4323

1.4347

GBP/JPY

152.73

153.37

GBP/AUD

1.9353

1.9398

GBP/NZD

2.3685

2.3740

GBP/CAD

1.7696

1.7755

NZD/USD

0.6854

0.6880

GBP/ZAR

12.69

12.72

USD/ZAR

7.78

7.82

GBP/PLN

4.6479

4.6764

EUR/JPY

134.27

134.87

Rates are dependent on amount transacted. Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote.

Please feel free to contact me (rick.roache@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080.

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Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

 



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