Foreign Exchange - UK Daily Update - Written by jeremy on Friday, April 17, 2009 7:09 - 0 Comments

Chinese Growth and European Friction - World First’s Currency Exchange Morning Update - 17th April 2009

All this and more is available on our video blog at http://uk.youtube.com/user/WorldFirstJC

The poorest Chinese growth figures since records began combined with a 10% fall in US new home sales and a 20% decline in EU industrial production gave risky assets a bloody nose yesterday and dampened the bullish vibrancy the markets have enjoyed in recent sessions.

 China only started publishing GDP figures in 1992 but the fall to 6.1% is the lowest in those 17 years. Although each and every developed country’s leader would probably give up their first born for such a figure the market needs more. The slowdown feeds through to countless industries and niches and the Chinese overhang may need more stimulus so as not to leave the world economy with a hangover.

 

Although an 18.4% fall in industrial production is a shocking figure this was not the most damaging piece of news flow concerning the European single currency. As we spoke of yesterday Axel Weber, a member of the ECB governing council, floated the idea of asset purchases akin to the US and UK’s recent QE plans however fissures are developing. Some members want the rate lower than 1% ASAP and some believe it’s gone far enough. All of this only strengthens our case that while Britain was once the ’sick man of Europe’ Europe is now the sick man of the world.

 

With all this data thrown into the pot and sprinkled with some great earnings figures from JP Morgan the day’s trade was indeed a volatile one. While sterling was weaker it managed to hold its nose up in comparison to EUR which was hammered by JPY and USD. With risk aversion high commodity currencies also were weak although the South African rand made good ground.

 

Data today will be focused on earnings reports from GE and Citigroup. So far financial earnings have surprised to the upside and hopes are today’s will alleviate some pressure on risky assets.

 

Have a great weekend.

 

P.S. From Monday you will be able to follow World First via Twitter. Information on how to subscribe will be published next week.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indicative Rates

 

Sell

Buy

GBPEUR

1.1297

1.1325

GBPUSD

1.4805

1.4833

EURUSD

1.3089

1.3118

GBPJPY

147.41

147.72

GBPAUD

2.0517

2.0570

GBPNZD

2.5833

2.5890

GBPCAD

1.7934

1.7988

NZDUSD

0.5714

0.5756

GBPZAR

13.13

13.19

USDZAR

8.85

8.89

GBPPLN

4.8079

4.8331

EURJPY

130.29

130.77

Rates are dependent on amount transacted
Please call 0207 801 9080 for a live rate quote

 

 

Please feel free to contact me (jeremy.cook@worldfirst.com) if you have any questions or thoughts regarding these updates or if you are interested in a particular event in the calendar. If you would like to discuss your foreign exchange requirements, please contact our: Corporate Foreign Exchange Team on 020 7801 9050 or our Private Client Currency Exchange Team on 020 7801 9080. Disclaimer: The above comments are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” i.e. for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts. E&OE. Definitions of jargon/market terms can be found in our Glossary of Foreign Exchange Terms.

 

To view any past or present currency blogs please click on the following link www.worldfirst.com/blog

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